SP 10 - Climate modelling

Development and implementation of a hierarchical model chain for modelling regional climate variability and climate change over southern Amazonia. The overreaching objective of the subproject is to analyze and model present and future atmospheric processes, boundary layer dynamics and spatiotemporal climate variations in southern Amazonia under different climate and land use scenarios. Assuming interannual and long term variations of precipitation and water budget to be major determinants for the stability, function and resilience of both managed and natural ecosystems in the target area, we will particularly emphasize on a scale-crossing analysis of relationships between hydroclimatic variability, external atmospheric forcings and land use and vegetation cover.